Is This The Best Matched Betting Offer Ever?
Last Updated on October 7, 2022 by The Betting Dad Team
The Bet365 early payout offer is a topic you just can’t miss in matched betting forums.
And for good reason too.
The offer also referred to as ‘2up’, has the perfect blend of:
– Low risk
– Potential for high returns
– Quick and easy to set up
There is also no cap to your winnings applied by Bet 365.
All this makes for a special offer, and one you should definitely be doing if you have started matched betting.
How Does The Bet365 Early Payout Offer Work?
If the team you place a back bet on go 2 goals up, Bet365 will settle and pay your bet as a winner.
So, let’s say your team were to go 2-0 up in the first 10 minutes.
Your bet would be paid as a winning bet.
You would see your winnings as withdrawable cash in your account, even though the game is still being played.
Example: Man City v Man United – November 11th, 2018
I placed a £1000 bet with Bet365 on Man City to win (and layed/bet against Man City, to make the offer low risk).
As we can see, Man City scored in the 12th and 48th minute to go 2 goals up.
This triggered the offer and I got paid out as a winner instantly, even though only 48 minutes (out of 90 minutes) of the game had been played.
A few minutes after Man City went 2-0 up I received the following message in my Bet365 account:
How We Can Profit From The Bet365 Early Payout Offer?
The strategy is quite simple:
1 – Place a back bet on a team with Bet365.
2 – Bet against your team by placing a lay bet with Smarkets.
This means that regardless of the result, the worst-case scenario will be a small qualifying loss.
We can use the Oddsmonkey Early Payout Calculator to work out our lay stake.
The calculator also shows us exactly what our qualifying loss will be whatever the result of the match.
I’ve used the Man City v Man United match again to show what I did.
I entered my back stake of £1000 (this offer works with any size stake, so start small and build up).
The calculator shows me to place a £992.91 lay bet at Smarkets.
A Worst-Case Scenario Of -£7.09
The above example leaves us with a worst-case scenario of -£7.09 whatever happens in the game.
This can be seen in the Profit Breakdown section.
If Man City didn’t go 2 goals up, I’d just take the small qualifying loss and move on to the next offer.
But, as we know, Man City did go 2 goals up.
You can see on the Oddsmonkey calculator there is a section asking if the bookmaker has paid out early.
When Man City went 2 goals up in the 48th minute, I changed the option to yes.
Now let’s look at the huge potential of the Bet365 Early Payout Offer.
Potential Profit Of +£1392.91
We can see that if the game went on to finish a draw or Man City lose I would make a profit of +£1392.91.
The profit is big because I would win my lay bet at Smarkets and my Bet365 back bet (which has already been paid, despite it being a losing bet if the game ended as a draw or a Man City loss).
Unfortunately for me on this occasion, Man City went on to win 3-1 so I made a loss of -£7.09.
Man United did get back to 2-1 to get me slightly excited, at which stage I could have chosen to lock in some profit.
This can be calculated by entering the in-play Smarkets back odds in the Early Payout section.
I entered the in-play back odds of 1.2, see below.
Back In-Play To Lock In A Profit
The calculator shows if I placed an in-play back stake of £1166.67, it would’ve locked in a profit of +226.24 regardless of the outcome of the game.
It also would have been possible to lock in a profit at 2-0.
However, the in-play Smarkets back odds on Man City would have been very low.
In my opinion, it would not have been worth taking such a small profit given the upside if a goal or two went in my favour.
My Strategy: Hold On For The Draw
My strategy (if my team is 2 goals up) is to always wait for the game to get to a draw before trading out.
When the game is a draw the in-play odds are often high enough on Smarkets to lock in a profit close to the maximum potential profit.
This results in much higher profits long term.
Taking a profit when the game is a draw also protects against the possibility of my team going on to score a winner, which would mean I’d end up back with the small qualifying loss.
As you can imagine, the scenario where a team loses a two-goal lead doesn’t happen all that often.
So my strategy can be really frustrating but highly rewarding when the comeback happens.
The key is placing as many bets as possible and having a lot of patience!
I’d recommend committing to placing at least 100-200 of these bets before expecting anything significant returns.
Finding Close Odds: Why It’s Important
It is essential the back odds at Bet365 are close to the Smarkets lay odds.
The two main reasons being:
1 – We get great implied odds, therefore, more value.
2 – We keep qualifying losses low. Especially important considering we will have long runs without making any profit.
I try to stick to a rule of laying one tick away from the back odds.
By ‘tick’, I mean the next available odds that it is possible to lay at. For example, using the Man City back odds of 1.4, I’d need the lay odds at Smarkets to be 1.41. As seen below:
If the back odds at Smarkets match the back odds at Bet365, it is likely the Smarkets lay odds will be the next tick away.
Implied Odds: It’s All About Value
By backing at 1.4 and laying at 1.41 we are getting implied odds of over 196.0 (195/1) for the team going two goals up and then losing the lead. This is calculated by:
Potential profit/qualifying loss = Implied odds
My example:
£1392.91/£7.09 = 196.46
By only placing these back and lay bets when the odds are close we are getting outstanding value.
The value is a result of us securing much higher odds than the real chance of it happening.
This is why we profit in the long term.
Final Thoughts
The Bet365 Early Payout offer is a superb opportunity for all matched bettors.
You’ll also find this offer available at Paddy Power, however, the odds, in general, aren’t as good as Bet365.
If you have moved on to the ongoing offers, you should make placing 2up qualifying bets part of your matched betting routine.
Prioritise offers you know and are used to.
Then, with any remaining Smarkets balance, look out for good Bet365 Early Payout opportunities to take advantage of.
A key point to remember is, remain patient!
You’ll be rewarded long term.
You may also be interested in learning about extra place offers.